CLAIMS LEDGER · EVIDENCE CHAIN
Claims about the elections, each with the evidence chain that supports it or not.
7 claim(s) from 2 election case(s). Evidence does not say "it is true": it shows where each item came from, when it was observed, what was calculated and where uncertainty remains.
What each state means
- Confirmed
CONFIRMED - There is observed or derived evidence in favour, linked to the claim, and no observed evidence against it is recorded. 4 claim(s).
- Disputed
DISPUTED - There is observed or derived evidence against the claim, or in favour and against at the same time. The ledger shows both sides; it does not pick one. 0 claim(s).
- Unsupported
UNSUPPORTED - No collected evidence supports the claim. It does not mean the claim was refuted: it means that, with what was collected, it does not hold. 1 claim(s).
- Unknown
UNKNOWN - The data that would decide it is missing. Unknown is not false: the claim stays open until the missing source enters the collection. 2 claim(s).
Claims by state
Confirmed Confirmed (4)
Disputed Disputed (0)
No claim in this state in the current collection.
Unsupported Unsupported (1)
Unknown Unknown (2)
Method: from source to claim
- Official source downloaded with URL, date and SHA-256 (TSE, STF).
- Observation: the number or excerpt read from the file itself, never typed in.
- Evidence: a graph node linked to the source by observed_in.
- Derived calculation, when there is one: declared formula, linked to its inputs by derived_from.
- Claim: linked to evidence by supported_by or contradicted_by; context does not become an edge.
- Claim state: what the chain supports, with what stays open.
Rules
- Only observed or derived evidence supports a fact. Imported, inferred and synthetic items stay as context.
- A confirmed claim with no evidence in favour drops to unknown at load time; the ledger keeps no confirmation without a chain.
- There is no aggregate confidence score: each item shows its factors (source type, traceability, independence, freshness, corroboration, conflicts).
- A source that blocks automated clients is not bypassed; the item stays unknown and the reason is shown.
- No claim here is an opinion, a voting recommendation or an adjective about a candidate or party.
Evidence states
- Observed
OBSERVED - read from a primary source with URL and SHA-256 checked
- Imported
IMPORTED - from an external dataset, API or system
- Derived
DERIVED - a declared calculation over observed items
- Inferred
INFERRED - output of a model, researcher or algorithm; does not support a fact on its own
- Synthetic
SYNTHETIC - simulation, forecast or scenario; never enters as a fact
- Unknown
UNKNOWN - a legitimate absence: no collected source supports the item
Frequent questions answered by the evidence
- Who won the second round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
- Did the extension of voting hours change the 2026 result?
- Were votes recorded after 5 p.m. in the 2026 second round?
- Did all votes recorded after 5 p.m. in 2026 go to the winner?
- Did abstention fall between the first and second rounds of 2026?
- Who won in each state in the 2026 second round?
- How does Brazil's 2026 presidential election compare with 2022?