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EVIDENCE STUDIES · NO. 002 · 2026-11-06

Ten pollsters registered 56% of the 1,404 presidential polls of 2026.

Every published election poll must be registered with the TSE first. In 2026, 141 pollsters registered at least one presidential poll, and 33% of them ended fieldwork in September. The registry shows who, when, how and with how many interviews; it has no result by candidate.

Author
Thiago Holtz, Reveno Evidence
Published
Data
TSE: PesqEle (Open Data), 2026 records
License
CC BY 4.0

The numbers

  1. 56%

    of registered polls came from the 10 pollsters with the most records. 141 pollsters registered at least one; 35 registered only one.

    Derived See Fig. 2

  2. 468

    polls ended fieldwork in September 2026, 33% of the year. In October, the month of both rounds, there were 236.

    Derived See Fig. 1

  3. 46%

    of records declare in-person interviews; 32% by phone and 9% online. In 116, the text does not allow a classification.

    Derived See Fig. 1

  4. 24%

    of the 1,366 records with sample and margin declare a margin smaller than that of a simple random sample of the same size. This is what the record declares; the sample design may explain the difference.

    Derived See Fig. 3

1. When and how

Polls by month of fieldwork end, stacked by declared method. The method is classified by keywords in the text the pollster registered.

Fig. 1
Presidential polls registered in 2026, by month and methodStacked columns by month and method. Peak in September 2026, with 468 records. Equivalent table on the page.Presidential polls registered in 2026, by month and methodPesqEle records by month of fieldwork end; each color is a declared method.Evidence state: DERIVED from official TSE records.in personphoneonlinemixednot identified0100200300400500Jan 26 · in person: 8 poll(s)Jan 26 · phone: 4 poll(s)Jan 26 · online: 2 poll(s)Jan 26 · not identified: 1 poll(s)15Jan 26Feb 26 · in person: 18 poll(s)Feb 26 · phone: 6 poll(s)Feb 26 · online: 1 poll(s)Feb 26 · mixed: 1 poll(s)Feb 26 · not identified: 1 poll(s)27Feb 26Mar 26 · in person: 50 poll(s)Mar 26 · phone: 9 poll(s)Mar 26 · online: 9 poll(s)Mar 26 · mixed: 5 poll(s)Mar 26 · not identified: 21 poll(s)94Mar 26Apr 26 · in person: 43 poll(s)Apr 26 · phone: 13 poll(s)Apr 26 · online: 2 poll(s)Apr 26 · mixed: 1 poll(s)Apr 26 · not identified: 10 poll(s)69Apr 26May 26 · in person: 56 poll(s)May 26 · phone: 14 poll(s)May 26 · online: 6 poll(s)May 26 · mixed: 3 poll(s)May 26 · not identified: 25 poll(s)104May 26Jun 26 · in person: 45 poll(s)Jun 26 · phone: 17 poll(s)Jun 26 · online: 4 poll(s)Jun 26 · mixed: 4 poll(s)Jun 26 · not identified: 14 poll(s)84Jun 26Jul 26 · in person: 63 poll(s)Jul 26 · phone: 33 poll(s)Jul 26 · online: 4 poll(s)Jul 26 · mixed: 6 poll(s)Jul 26 · not identified: 17 poll(s)123Jul 26Aug 26 · in person: 91 poll(s)Aug 26 · phone: 69 poll(s)Aug 26 · online: 9 poll(s)Aug 26 · mixed: 11 poll(s)Aug 26 · not identified: 4 poll(s)184Aug 26Sep 26 · in person: 188 poll(s)Sep 26 · phone: 193 poll(s)Sep 26 · online: 48 poll(s)Sep 26 · mixed: 20 poll(s)Sep 26 · not identified: 19 poll(s)468Sep 26Oct 26 · in person: 89 poll(s)Oct 26 · phone: 92 poll(s)Oct 26 · online: 42 poll(s)Oct 26 · mixed: 9 poll(s)Oct 26 · not identified: 4 poll(s)236Oct 26Source: TSE, PesqEle (Open Data), extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26d.Reveno Evidence · evidence.reveno.com.br/en/studies/registered-polls-2026/
Derived Presidential polls registered in 2026, by month and method Download SVG
See the table
Polls by month of fieldwork end and declared method, 2026.
MonthTotalIn personPhoneOnlineMixedNot identified
Jan 261584201
Feb 2627186111
Mar 26945099521
Apr 266943132110
May 2610456146325
Jun 268445174414
Jul 2612363334617
Aug 2618491699114
Sep 26468188193482019
Oct 2623689924294

2. Who registered

The 15 pollsters with the most records, from most to least, and the cumulative share of the total. Teal bars: the top ten.

Fig. 2
The 15 pollsters with the most presidential polls registered in 2026Horizontal bars of the 15 pollsters with the most records; the top ten add up to 56% of the total. Equivalent table on the page.The 15 pollsters with the most presidential polls registered in2026Number of records and cumulative share of all records.Evidence state: DERIVED from official TSE records.VERITA: 234 record(s), 16.7% of the total, cumulative 16.7%VERITA23417%REAL TIME BIG DATA: 116 record(s), 8.3% of the total, cumulative 24.9%REAL TIME BIG DATA11625%QUAEST PESQUISAS, CONSULTORIA E PROJETOS: 111 record(s), 7.9% of the total, cumulative 32.8%QUAEST PESQUISAS, CONSULTOR…11133%ATLASINTEL: 106 record(s), 7.5% of the total, cumulative 40.4%ATLASINTEL10640%DATAFOLHA INSTITUTO DE PESQUISAS: 61 record(s), 4.3% of the total, cumulative 44.7%DATAFOLHA INSTITUTO DE PESQ…6145%100 CIDADES: 43 record(s), 3.1% of the total, cumulative 47.8%100 CIDADES4348%DATATRENDS: 33 record(s), 2.4% of the total, cumulative 50.1%DATATRENDS3350%INSTITUTO PARANA DE PESQUISAS E ANALISE DE CONSUMIDOR: 30 record(s), 2.1% of the total, cumulative 52.3%INSTITUTO PARANA DE PESQUIS…3052%INSTITUTO FRANCA DE PESQUISA PESQUISA E ASSESSORIA: 28 record(s), 2.0% of the total, cumulative 54.3%INSTITUTO FRANCA DE PESQUIS…2854%INSTITUTO SETA DE PESQUISA: 25 record(s), 1.8% of the total, cumulative 56.1%INSTITUTO SETA DE PESQUISA2556%INSTITUTO VOX BRASIL OPINIAO E PESQUISAS: 21 record(s), 1.5% of the total, cumulative 57.5%INSTITUTO VOX BRASIL OPINIA…2158%NEXUS: 21 record(s), 1.5% of the total, cumulative 59.0%NEXUS2159%GRUPO GERP GERP MERCADO GERP OPINIAO GERPAUDIT: 19 record(s), 1.4% of the total, cumulative 60.4%GRUPO GERP GERP MERCADO GER…1960%NEOKEMP PESQUISAS: 19 record(s), 1.4% of the total, cumulative 61.8%NEOKEMP PESQUISAS1962%PODERDATA: 19 record(s), 1.4% of the total, cumulative 63.1%PODERDATA1963%Other 126 pollsters: 518100%cumulativeSource: TSE, PesqEle (Open Data), extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26d.Reveno Evidence · evidence.reveno.com.br/en/studies/registered-polls-2026/
Derived The 15 pollsters with the most presidential polls registered in 2026 Download SVG
See the table
Pollsters with the most records, with the cumulative share.
PollsterRecords% of totalCumulative
VERITA23416.7%16.7%
REAL TIME BIG DATA1168.3%24.9%
QUAEST PESQUISAS, CONSULTORIA E PROJETOS1117.9%32.8%
ATLASINTEL1067.5%40.4%
DATAFOLHA INSTITUTO DE PESQUISAS614.3%44.7%
100 CIDADES433.1%47.8%
DATATRENDS332.4%50.1%
INSTITUTO PARANA DE PESQUISAS E ANALISE DE CONSUMIDOR302.1%52.3%
INSTITUTO FRANCA DE PESQUISA PESQUISA E ASSESSORIA282.0%54.3%
INSTITUTO SETA DE PESQUISA251.8%56.1%
INSTITUTO VOX BRASIL OPINIAO E PESQUISAS211.5%57.5%
NEXUS211.5%59.0%
GRUPO GERP GERP MERCADO GERP OPINIAO GERPAUDIT191.4%60.4%
NEOKEMP PESQUISAS191.4%61.8%
PODERDATA191.4%63.1%

3. Declared sample and margin

Each circle is a group of records with the same sample, margin and method; the area is the number of records. The curve is the margin of a simple random sample of the same size (95% confidence, p = 0.5). Below the curve, the declared margin is smaller than that reference.

Fig. 3
Declared sample size and margin of error in 2026 recordsScatter of declared sample and margin with the reference curve; 24% of records sit below it. Equivalent table on the page.Declared sample size and margin of error in 2026 recordsHorizontal axis on a log scale. Curve: reference margin of a simple random sample.Evidence state: DERIVED from official TSE records.01234562505001,0002,0005,00010,00040,000interviews (log scale)declared margin (pp)reference: simple random sample1,220 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 62 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 59 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 43 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 39 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.804 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 36 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,220 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, not identified: 36 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 31 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 28 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, phone: 28 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, online: 27 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.1,525 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 23 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, phone: 21 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, in person: 21 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,008 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, phone: 21 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,004 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 21 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 20 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 20 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, online: 16 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,204 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 16 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,030 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, phone: 16 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, phone: 15 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 15 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 14 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 14 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,104 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 13 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.9 pp.2,010 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 13 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.900 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 12 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.3 pp.2,400 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 11 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.2,100 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 11 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.1 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, in person: 11 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, mixed: 11 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.2,030 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 10 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.2,020 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 10 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, in person: 10 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, phone: 9 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,250 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, in person: 9 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 9 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.8 pp, in person: 9 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.1,525 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 9 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,200 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, online: 8 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.1 pp.1,302 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 8 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 8 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,030 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, not identified: 8 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,002 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 7 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, online: 7 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 7 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,400 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 7 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.1,067 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 6 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, phone: 6 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,060 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 6 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.600 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 6 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,137 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, in person: 6 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.9 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,220 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, phone: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.910 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.2 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 1.8 pp, phone: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.1,098 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.3,025 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, not identified: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, not identified: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, not identified: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.6,000 interviews, margin 1.6 pp, online: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.3 pp.1,700 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, not identified: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, phone: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,022 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,010 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, phone: 5 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.15,554 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, phone: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.8 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, phone: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,520 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, mixed: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,602 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,400 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.6 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, phone: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,610 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.500 interviews, margin 4.4 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.4 pp.1,100 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,536 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.1,506 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.2 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,002 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.1,006 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,020 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, phone: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,300 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, in person: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.2,030 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,525 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, not identified: 4 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,650 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 1.4 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.3,080 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, mixed: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.500 interviews, margin 4.4 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.4 pp.700 interviews, margin 3.7 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.7 pp.1,480 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, mixed: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, mixed: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,509 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,680 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.784 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, mixed: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.2,080 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.1 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 3 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.4,000 interviews, margin 1.6 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,620 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.3,702 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.6 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 3.6 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,154 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.1 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,141 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.9 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, mixed: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,010 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.820 interviews, margin 3.4 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.4 pp.1,504 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,064 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,495 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.602 interviews, margin 3.9 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.8 pp, mixed: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.2,500 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.40,500 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.5 pp.601 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 1.4 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,050 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.960 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.2 pp.826 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.4 pp.1,535 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,525 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.800 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.3,840 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.6 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 1.8 pp, mixed: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.301 interviews, margin 5.7 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.6 pp.450 interviews, margin 3.8 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.6 pp.1,002 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,482 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,608 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.1,116 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.9 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,100 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,550 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,480 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.3,330 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.7 pp.3,025 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, not identified: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.7 pp, mixed: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 1.6 pp, online: 2 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,550 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.4,050 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,537 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.1,067 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,067 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,049 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 1.9 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,700 interviews, margin 1.9 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.9 pp.3,999 interviews, margin 1.6 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,344 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.1,350 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.4,006 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,564 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,560 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,531 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.4,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.40,500 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.5 pp.1,079 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,814 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.2,506 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.921 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.2 pp.2,946 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.300 interviews, margin 5.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.7 pp.500 interviews, margin 4.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.4 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.706 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.7 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,230 interviews, margin 2.8 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.321 interviews, margin 5.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.5 pp.777 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.775 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.401 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.460 interviews, margin 4.6 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.6 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.550 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.2 pp.468 interviews, margin 4.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.5 pp.511 interviews, margin 4.3 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.3 pp.595 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.2,700 interviews, margin 1.8 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.9 pp.566 interviews, margin 4.1 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.1 pp.19,000 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.7 pp.2,100 interviews, margin 2.1 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.1 pp.1,000 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.784 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.782 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,201 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,003 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.2,016 interviews, margin 2.2 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.800 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,356 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.1,525 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.1,300 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.700 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.7 pp.20,000 interviews, margin 1.4 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.7 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,430 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.6 pp.1,326 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.601 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,620 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.782 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.2,058 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.2,400 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.0 pp.900 interviews, margin 3.3 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.3 pp.1,700 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.450 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.6 pp.1,800 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.1,311 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.550 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.2 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.400 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.5,000 interviews, margin 1.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.1,006 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,011 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.1 pp.1,066 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.2,000 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.2 pp.403 interviews, margin 4.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.9 pp.1,066 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,100 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.711 interviews, margin 3.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.7 pp.1,301 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.950 interviews, margin 3.2 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.2 pp.300 interviews, margin 5.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.7 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,600 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,070 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,100 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.9,000 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.0 pp.1,607 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.1,500 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.604 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.500 interviews, margin 4.3 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.4 pp.1,510 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,200 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.300 interviews, margin 5.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.7 pp.4,729 interviews, margin 1.4 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.4 pp.4,000 interviews, margin 1.6 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,068 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,518 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,355 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.312 interviews, margin 5.6 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.5 pp.1,615 interviews, margin 2.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.4 pp.600 interviews, margin 3.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,137 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.9 pp.40,500 interviews, margin 1.0 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 0.5 pp.302 interviews, margin 5.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 5.6 pp.1,775 interviews, margin 2.3 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.3 pp.1,064 interviews, margin 3.1 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,354 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.4,200 interviews, margin 2.0 pp, online: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.5 pp.1,556 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,400 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.6 pp.600 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.1,224 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.816 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.4 pp.500 interviews, margin 4.4 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.4 pp.1,220 interviews, margin 2.9 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.8 pp.1,055 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.0 pp.1,350 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.9,000 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, phone: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.0 pp.3,000 interviews, margin 3.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 1.8 pp.1,580 interviews, margin 2.5 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.605 interviews, margin 4.0 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 4.0 pp.800 interviews, margin 3.5 pp, mixed: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 3.5 pp.1,502 interviews, margin 2.6 pp, in person: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.5 pp.1,300 interviews, margin 2.7 pp, not identified: 1 record(s). Reference for this sample: 2.7 pp.in personphoneonlinemixednot identified1,366 records with sample and margin; 38 missing one of them are left out. Marginsabove 6.5 pp sit at the top.Source: TSE, PesqEle (Open Data), extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26d.Reveno Evidence · evidence.reveno.com.br/en/studies/registered-polls-2026/
Derived Declared sample size and margin of error in 2026 records Download SVG
See the table
Records below the reference margin, by method.
MethodRecords with sample and marginBelow the reference%
in person62917027%
phone44510022%
online1264939%
mixed5136%
not identified11500%

Method and limits

Records come from PesqEle in TSE Open Data (president, 2026), read without changing values, with SHA-256 checked at publication. Names of statisticians and individual contractors are left out. Method class and margin are derived from the registered text, with the rules on the election polls page.

top10_share = records of the 10 pollsters with the most records / total records
reference_margin(n) = 100 × 1.96 × √(0.25 / n)
below_reference = declared_margin < reference_margin(sample) − 0.1

What the data does not allow us to say

  • A record is not a result: PesqEle has no estimate by candidate, so accuracy cannot be measured.
  • Registering does not mean publishing; the month is the declared end of fieldwork.
  • A margin below the reference is not an error or fraud: stratification and weighting change the math, and the record does not include the design effect. For non-probability samples, the margin does not have the same meaning.
  • The method class comes from keywords in the pollster text and may be wrong for ambiguous texts.
  • The study does not rank pollsters by quality; the order in Fig. 2 is only the number of records.

Authorship and review

Written by Thiago Holtz for Reveno Evidence and published on November 6, 2026. Internal review; no independent review yet. Corrections are added here, dated, without deleting the previous version.

History

  • Version 1, November 6, 2026: publication.

About this data

What it measures
Presidential poll records in 2026: pollster, month of fieldwork end, declared method, sample and margin, and the comparison of the margin with the simple random sample reference.
Source
Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), PesqEle in Open Data, in the collection manifest.
Unit
Records (count); share of the total; interviews; percentage points (pp).
Period
Fieldwork ending from January 2026 to October 2026.
Last collected
Next scheduled collection
Not applicable: dated edition, with records made up to 2026-11-03. If the TSE changes one of those records, the page says so and recalculates.
Maintained by
Thiago Holtz, Reveno Evidence
Evidence state
Observed Derived
Version
Extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26de600
License
Text, figures and calculations of this study: CC BY 4.0, with attribution to Reveno Evidence and a link to this page. Source data: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), public data, under the court's terms.

Download the data

  1. What is on screen

    The tables on this page as CSV, with unformatted numbers and the evidence state of every row.

  2. The full set, with a manifest

    A ZIP with every file behind the page, a README with the citation and license, and a manifest with the SHA-256 of each file.

  3. For machines

    A JSON at a stable address, with metadata, citation, tables and sources. The address does not change between publications; the content changes when the collection changes.

    • dados.json JSON · 4.2 kB · SHA-256 f7b5e74f7c22https://evidence.reveno.com.br/estudos/pesquisas-registradas-2026/dados.json

How to cite

Short citation for a chart or table caption, or a note

TSE (2026), processed by Reveno Evidence

Full citation with URL and access date

Reveno Evidence (2026). Ten pollsters registered 56% of the 1,404 presidential polls of 2026 [Data set]. Evidence Studies no. 002, by Thiago Holtz. Source data: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), PesqEle, Open Data. Extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26de600. Retrieved November 6, 2026, from https://evidence.reveno.com.br/en/studies/registered-polls-2026/

BibTeX

@misc{reveno_evidence_estudo_002,
  author = {{Reveno Evidence}},
  title = {Ten pollsters registered 56% of the 1,404 presidential polls of 2026},
  year = {2026},
  publisher = {Reveno},
  url = {https://evidence.reveno.com.br/en/studies/registered-polls-2026/},
  urldate = {2026-11-06},
  note = {Evidence Studies no. 002, by Thiago Holtz. Source data: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), PesqEle, Open Data. Extract SHA-256 b4d28502c26de600}
}

The access date is filled in with the date of this version of the page; replace it with the date you accessed it.

When you use a number, also cite the source file: id, URL and SHA-256 are in the sources table.

Text, figures and calculations of this study: CC BY 4.0, with attribution to Reveno Evidence and a link to this page. Source data: Brazil's Superior Electoral Court (TSE), public data, under the court's terms.

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